CSAS Products

Click on each project title to reveal the products reported for individual CSAS projects. Products include journal publications (published and submitted), conference abstracts and posters.

A Change of Seasonality of the Upper Arctic Ocean in Response to Atmospheric and Sea Ice Forcing

Journal Publications

Yang, J. (2009), "Seasonal and interannual variability of downwelling in the Beaufort Sea", J. Geophys. Res., 114, C00A14, doi:10.1029/2008JC005084.

Pickart, R.S., G.W.K. Moore, D.J. Torres, P.S. Fratantoni, R.A. Goldsmith, and J. Yang (2009), "Upwelling on the continental slope of the Alaskan Beaufort Sea: Storms, ice, and oceanographic response", J. Geophys. Res., 114, C00A13, doi:10.1029/2008JC005009.

Presentations

"A Change of Seasonality of the Upper Arctic Ocean in Response to Atmospheric and Sea Ice Forcing" Download PDF (3.14 MB)

Posters

Yang, J., "Interannual Variability of the Arctic Ocean Ekman Transport and Upwelling" Download PDF (944 KB).

Diamonds and Oil from the Tundra: A System Study on the Impact of Changing Seasons on Mining and Oil Exploration

Conference Abstracts

Goldstein, M.A., Sturm, M., Douglas, T., and H. Huntington, "Cold Hard Cash: The Ecomomic Importance of Ice in the Arctic", The Seventh International Congress of Arctic Social Sciences, Akureyri, Iceland (2011).

Huntington, H., "Ice roads in the Northwest Territories: the intersection of climate, economics, and transportation policy", AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA (2010).

Student Report

"Cost Breakdown and Construction Profile: Yellowknife Joint Venture Ice Road" (2010) Cost Breakdown and Construction Profile - Download PDF (372.1 KB)

Effects of Lengthening Growing Season and Increasing Temperature on Soil Carbon Fluxes and Stocks in Arctic Tundra

Conference Abstracts

Tang, J., and S. Hackley, "Carbon fluxes from soils and plants in Arctic tundra and their responses to warming", ARC LTER Annual Meeting, Woods Hole (2011).

How Does Changing Seasonality Affect the Capacity of Arctic Stream Networks to Influence Nutrient Fluxes from the Landscape to the Ocean?

Conference Abstracts

Wlostowski, A.N., M.N. Gooseff, W.B. Bowden, W.M. Wollheim, M. Herstand, C.C. Treat, and B.L. McGlynn, "Channel water balances in Arctic tundra streams", AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, Abstract H31D-1032 (2010).

Gooseff, M.N., K.E. Bencala, W.B. Bowden, B.L. McGlynn, R.A. Payn, K. Singha, A.S. Ward, A. Wlostowski, W.M. Wollheim, "Context Conundrums: Observations and conceptual models are primary controls on interpretations of temporal and spatial scales of stream-groundwater interactions", AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, Abstract H33J-01 (2010).

Impacts of the Changing Seasonality of Wind-Driven Mixing on the Arctic System

Journal Publications

Rainville, L., C.M. Lee, and R.A. Woodgate (2011), "Impact of wind-driven mixing in the Arctic Ocean", Oceanography 24(3).

"Arctic Ocean Awakening As Ice Melts" by Larry O'Hanlon, Discovery News: Earth News, January 5, 2010.

Rainville, L., and R. A. Woodgate (2009), "Observations of internal wave generation in the seasonally ice-free Arctic", Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L23604, doi:10.1029/2009GL041291.

"Melting sea ice will stir up Arctic Waters", AGU: Geophysical Research Letters, Editors Highlight, published online: 2 December 2009. AGU Editors' Highlight - Download PDF (50.3 KB)

"Arctic Mix-up" by Harvey Leifert, Nature Reports: Climate Change, Vol. 4, January 2010, published online: 17 December 2009. Rainville Nature Reports - Download PDF (225.4 KB)

Pan-Arctic Climate and Ecosystem Response to Historical and Projected Changes in the Seasonality of Sea Ice Melt and Growth

Journal Publications

Flanner, M.G., K.M. Shell, M. Barlage, D.K. Perovich, and M.A. Tschudi (2011), "Radiative forcing and albedo feedback from the Northern Hemisphere cryosphere between 1979 and 2008", Nature Geosciences, 4, doi:10.1038/ngeo1062.

Perovich, D.K., B. Light, K.F. Jones, H. Eicken, J. Stroeve, and T. Markus (2011), "Solar partitioning in a changing Arctic sea ice cover", Ann. Glaciol., 52 (57).

Perovich, D.K., J.A. Richter-Menge, K.F. Jones, B. Light, B.C. Elder, C.M. Polashenski, D. LaRoche, T. Markus, and R. Lindsay (2011), "Arctic sea-ice melt in 2008 and the role of solar heating", Ann. Glaciol., 52.

Nicolaus, M. S. Gerland, S. Hudson, S. Hanson, J. Haapala, and D. Perovich (2010), "Seasonality of spectral albedo and transmittance as observed in the Arctic Transpolar Drift in 2007", J. Geophys. Res., 115, C11011, doi:10.1029/2009JC006074.

Papers Submitted

Jahn, A., D.A. Bailey, C.M. Bitz, M.M. Holland, E.C. Hunke, J.E. Kay, W.H. Lipscomb, J.A. Maslanik, D. Pollak, K. Sterling, and J. Stroeve, "Late 20th century simulation of Arctic sea ice and ocean properties in CCSM", J. Climate (2011) (submitted).

Holland, M.M., D.A. Bailey, B.P. Briegleb, B. Light, and E. Hunke, "Improved sea ice shortwave radiation physics in CCSM4: The impact of melt ponds and black carbon", J. Climate, (2011) (submitted).

Conference Abstracts

Perovich, D.K., "Sunlight and sea ice in a changing Arctic", Gordon Conference on Polar Marine Science, Ventura, CA (2011).

Pollak, D., M. Holland, and D. Bailey, "Understanding changes in the Arctic basin sea ice mass budget as simulated by CCSM4: Implications from melt season characteristics and the surface albedo feedback", AMS 11th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography, Boston, MA (2011).

Pollak, D., M. Holland, and D. Bailey, "Understanding changes in the Arctic basin sea ice mass budget as simulated by CCSM4: Implications from melt season characteristics and the surface albedo feedback", AMS 11th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography, Boston, MA (2011).

Holland, M., "Radiative Forcing of Ponds and Aerosols in CCSM4", CESM Workshop, Breckenridge, CO (2010).

Perovich, D.K., B. Light, C. Polashenski, and S.V. Nghiem, "A Changing Arctic Sea Ice Cover and the Partitioning of Solar Radiation", AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA (2010).

Perovich, D.K., "The ice albedo feedback in a changing Arctic", Rapid Change in Arctic Sea Ice: Assessing Drivers and Future Trajectories, Fairbanks, AK (2010).

Perovich, D.K., "Impacts of Arctic sea ice change on ice – albedo feedback", IGARSS 2010 - 2010 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, Honolulu, HI (2010).

Perovich, D.K., "Sunshine, ice, and feedbacks: The heat and mass budget of Arctic sea ice", Institute for Pure and Applied Mathematics Workshop on the Mathematics of Sea Ice in the Climate System, Los Angeles, CA (2010).

Perovich, D.K., "Sea ice and sunlight: Climate change and the Arctic sea ice cover", Jones Seminar, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH (2010).

Perovich, D.K., "Sunlight, Sea Ice, Ponds, and Ocean: What is Driving the Ice – Albedo Feedback?", Annual Meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, San Diego, CA (2010).

Pollak, D., M. Holland, and D. Bailey, "Understanding changes in the Arctic basin sea ice mass budget as simulated by CCSM4: Implications from melt season characteristics and the surface albedo feedback", AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA (2010).

Light, B., D. Perovich, T. Grenfell, K. Runciman, K. Jones, and M. Wyant, "Transmission of Sunlight through melting Arctic Sea Ice", AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA (2009).

Seasonality of Circumpolar Tundra: Ocean and Atmosphere Controls and Effects on Energy and Carbon Budgets

Journal Publications

Bhatt, U.S., D.A. Walker, M.K. Raynolds, J.C. Comiso, H.E. Epstein, G. Jia, R. Gens, J.E. Pinzon, C.J. Tucker, C.E. Tweedie & P.J. Webber (2010), "Circumpolar Arctic Tundra Vegetation Change is linked to Sea Ice Decline", Earth Interactions, 14, doi:10.1175/2010EI315.1. Download PDF (5.7 MB)

Walker, D.A., U.S. Bhatt, J.C. Comiso, H.E. Epstein, W.A. Gould, G.H.R. Henry, G.J. Jia, S.V. Kokelj, T.C. Lantz, J.A. Mercado-Díaz, J.E. Pinzon, M.K. Raynolds, G.R. Shaver, C.J. Tucker, C.E. Tweedie, P.J. Webber, "Arctic: Land: Vegetation" [in "State of the Climate in 2009"], Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 91(6), S79-S82 (2010). Download PDF (1.2 MB)

Conference Abstracts

Bhatt, U.S., D.A. Walker, M.K. Raynolds, P.A. Bieniek, H.E. Epstein, J.C. Comiso, J.E. Pinzon, C.J. Tucker, I.V. Polyakov, Y. Liu, R. Gens, C.E. Tweedie, P.J. Webber, M. Steele, G.J. Jia, "Understanding drivers of recent Arctic tundra vegetation changes", Abstract GC43B-08, AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA (2010). Download PDF (12 MB)

Walker, D.A., "Arctic vegetation along two long bioclimatic transects in North America and Russia", Fulbright Lecture, Botany Department, Masarysk University Brno, Czech Republic (2011). Download PDF (19.5 MB)

Walker, D.A., "Greening of the Arctic: Climate change and circumpolar Arctic vegetation", Fulbright Lecture, Cesko Budovice University Cesko Budovice, Czech Republic (2011). Download PDF (15.8 MB)

Walker, D.A., "Socio-ecological effects of oil and gas development in the Arctic: Comparison of the Prudhoe Bay, Alaska and Bovanenkova, Russia regions", Earth Day, 20th Celebration of the Czech Fulbright Commission American Center, Prague, Czech Republic (2011). Download PDF (52.8 MB)

Walker, D.A., H.P. Kuss, M. Kopecky, G.V. Frost, F.J.A. Daniëls, A.N. Kade, C.M. Vonlanthen, M.K. Raynolds, H.E. Epstein, "The North American and Eurasia Arctic transects: Using phytosociology and remote sensing to detect vegetation pattern and change", European Vegetation Survey 20th Workshop, Rome, Italy (2011). Download PDF (10.5 MB)

Bhatt, U.S., D.A. Walker, M.K. Raynolds, et al., "Circumpolar Arctic tundra vegetation change is linked to sea-ice decline", State of the Arctic, Miami, FL (2010). Download PDF (1.9 MB)

Bhatt, U.S., D.A. Walker, M.K. Raynolds, et al., “Climatology and Seasonality of the ice-ocean-atmosphere-terrestrial system on the Yamal”, Yamal Land-Cover Land-Use Change Workshop, Rovaniemi, Finland (2010). Download PDF (685 KB)

Comiso, J.C., “State of the Cryosphere in the Arctic”, Second Yamal Land-Cover Land-Use Change Workshop, Rovaniemi, Finland (2010). Download PDF (22.7 MB)

Epstein, H.E., D.A. Walker, M.K. Raynolds, et al., “Vegetation biomass, leaf area index, and NDVI patterns and relationships along two latitudinal transects in arctic tundra”, Second Yamal Land-Cover Land-Use Change Workshop, Rovaniemi, Finland (2010). Download PDF (3.5 MB)

Pinzon, J.E., C.J. Tucker, “GIMMS 3g NDVI set and global NDVI trends”, Second Yamal Land-Cover Land-Use Change Workshop, Rovaniemi, Finland (2010). Download PDF (802 KB)

Raynolds, M.K., D.A, Walker, U.S. Bhatt, et al., “NDVI trends 1981-2008 in the circumpolar Arctic and Yamal”, Yamal Land-Cover land-Use Change Workshop, Rovaniemi, Finland (2010). Download PDF (863 KB)

Walker, D.A., H.E. Epstein, U.S. Bhatt, et al., “Greening of the Arctic: A planet-to-plant analysis of Arctic vegetation change”, IPY Oslo Science Conference, Oslo, Norway (2010). Download PDF (69.9 MB)

Bhatt, U.S., D.A. Walker, M.K. Raynolds, et. al., “Panarctic linkages between greening of Arctic tundra, sea ice decline, and summer land temperatures”, NEESPI Workshop CITIES-2009, Krasnoyarsk, Russia (2009). Download PDF (8.4 MB)

Bhatt, U.S., D.A. Walker, M.K. Raynolds, et al., “Seasonality of the air-sea-ice-land environment of Arctic tundra in Northern Eurasia and North America”, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Informal Seminar, Fairbanks, AK (2009).

Posters

Bhatt, U.S., D.A. Walker, M.K. Raynolds, H.E. Epstein, G.J. Jia, J.C. Comiso, J. Pinzon, "Seasonality of the atmosphere-ocean-ice-terrestrial environment of Arctic tundra", State of the Arctic Meeting, Miami, FL (2010). Download PDF (3.8 MB)

Bhatt, U.S., D.A. Walker, M.K. Raynolds, H.E. Epstein, G.J. Jia, J.C. Comiso, J.E. Pinzon, C.J. Tucker, "Circumpolar arctic tundra vegetation change is linked to sea-ice decline", Yamal Land-Cover Land-Use Change Workshop, Rovaniemi, Finland (2010). Download PDF (5.2 MB)

Bhatt, U.S., D.A. Walker, M.K. Raynolds, H.E. Epstein, G.J. Jia, J.C. Comiso, J.E. Pinzon, C.J. Tucker, "Climatology and variability of the ice-ocean-atmosphere-terrestrial system on the Yamal", Land Cover, Land Use Change Spring Science Team Meeting, Bethesda, MD (2010). Download PDF (3.9 MB)

Bieniek, P.A., U.S. Bhatt, D.A. Walker, M.K. Raynolds, J.C. Comiso, H.E. Epstein, R. Gens, J.E. Pinzon, C.J. Tucker, M. Steele, C. Ozimek, "Alaska tundra vegetation trends and their links to the large-scale climate", Abstract GC43B-0976, AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA (2010). Download PDF (615 KB)

Epstein, H.E., D.A. Walker, M.K. Raynolds, A.M. Kelley, G.J. Jia, C.L. Ping, G.J. Michaelson, M.O. Leibman, E. Kaarlejärvi, A.V. Khomutov, H.P. Kuss, N.G. Moskalenko, P. Orechov, G. Matyshak, B.C. Forbes, "Vegetation biomass, leaf area index, and NDVI patterns and relationships along two latitudinal transects in arctic tundra", Second Yamal Land-Cover Land-Use Change Workshop Rovaniemi, Finland (2010). Download PDF (3.5 MB)

Raynolds, M.K., D.A. Walker, D. Verbyla, C.A. Munger, "Changes in tundra vegetation over 25 years as measured by Landsat NDVI in the Upper Kuparuk River Basin, North Slope Alaska, 1985-2009", Abstract GC43B-0984, AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA (2010). Download PDF (5 MB)

Seasons of Change in the Arctic Environment

Publications

Lawrence, D., Oleson, K., Flanner, M., Thorton, P., Swenson, S., Lawrence, P., Zeng, X., Yang, Z., Levis, S., Skaguchi, K., Bonan, G., Slater, A. (2011), Parameterization Improvements and Functional and Structural Advances in Version 4 of the Community Land Model, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 3, M03001, doi:10.1029/2011MS000045.

Schaefer, K., T. Zhang, L. Bruhwiler, and A.P. Barrett (2011), "Amount and timing of permafrost carbon release in response to climate warming", Tellus Series B: Chemical and Physical Meteorology, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2011.00527.x.

Serreze, M.C., A.P. Barrett, and J.J. Cassano (2011), "Circulation and surface controls on the lower tropospheric air temperature field of the Arctic", J. Geophys. Res., 116, D07104, doi:10.1029/2010JD015127.

Serreze, M.C. and R.G. Barry (2011), "Processes and impacts of Arctic amplification: A research synthesis", Global and Planetary Change, Volume 77, Issues 1-2, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.03.004.

Serreze, M.C. and A.P. Barrett (2011), "Characteristics of the Beaufort Sea High", J. Climate, 24, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3636.1.

Stroeve, J.C., Serreze, M.C., Barrett, A. and Kindig, D.N. (2011), "Attribution of recent changes in autumn cyclone associated precipitation in the Arctic", Tellus A, 63, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2011.00515.x.

Stroeve, J.C., J. Maslanik, M.C. Serreze, I. Rigor, W. Meier, and C. Fowler (2011), "Sea ice response to an extreme negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation during winter 2009/2010", Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L02502, doi:10.1029/2010GL045662.

Stroeve, J.C., M.C. Serreze, M.M. Holland, J.E. Kay, J. Malanik, and A.P. Barrett (2011), "The Arctic’s rapidly shrinking sea ice cover: a research synthesis", Climatic Change, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0101-1. Download PDF (1.13 MB)

Science Magazine Article

Serreze, M.C. (2011), "Climate change: Rethinking the sea-ice tipping point", Nature, 471, 47-48, doi:10.1038/471047a.

Conference Abstracts

Liu, L, K.M. Schaefer, T. Zhang, and J.M. Wahr, "Estimating Active Layer Thickness from Remotely Sensed Surface Deformation", AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, Abstract C41C-08 (2010).

Zhang, T., K.M. Schaefer, L. Bruhwiler, and A.P. Barrett, "Strength and Timing of the Permafrost Carbon Feedback", AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, Abstract GC52A-02 (2010).

Shifting Seasonality of Arctic River Hydrology Alters Key Biotic Linkages Among Aquatic Systems

Posters

MacKenzie, C. and L. Deegan, "FISHSCAPE: Assessment of shifting seasonality in Arctic grayling migration", Southern New England Chapter meeting of the American Fisheries Society, Woods Hole, MA (2011). Download PDF (744 KB)

MacKenzie, C. and L. Deegan, "FISHSCAPE: Assessment of shifting seasonality in Arctic grayling migration", Arctic Grayling Symposium and Workshop, Grand Prairie, TX (2011). Download PDF (744 KB)

Deegan, L., B. Peterson and C. MacKenzie, "Changing seasonality of Arctic hydrology disrupts key biotic linkages in Arctic aquatic ecosystems", American Fisheries Society annual meeting, Seattle, WA (2011). Download PDF (1 MB)

Shifting Seasonality of Northern Forest Response to Arctic Environmental Change

Journal Publications

Andreu-Hayles, L., R. D’Arrigo, K. Anchukaitis, P. Beck, D. Frank, A.Verstege, and S. Goetz (2011) "Varying Northern Forest Response to Arctic Environmental Change at the Firth River, Alaska", Environmental Research Letters 6, 045503, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/6/4/045503.

Beck, P.S.A. and S.J. Goetz (2011) "Satellite observations of high northern latitude vegetation productivity changes between 1982 and 2008: ecological variability and regional differences", Environmental Research Letters 6, 045501, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/6/4/045501.

Beck, P.S.A., G.P. Juday, C. Alix, V. Barber, S. Winslow, E. Sousa, P. Heiser, J. Herriges, and S.J. Goetz (2011), "Changes in forest productivity across Alaska consistent with biome shift", Ecology Letters, doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01598.x.

Berner, L.T., P.S.A. Beck, A.G. Bunn, A.H. Lloyd, and S.J. Goetz (2011), "High-latitude tree growth and satellite vegetation indices: Correlations and trends in Russia and Canada (1982–2008)", J. Geophys. Res., 116, G01015, doi: 10.1029/2010JG001475.

Papers Submitted

Anchukaitis, K., R. D’Arrigo, L. Hayles, D. Frank, A. Verstege, B. Buckley, A. Curtis, G. Jacoby and E. Cook, "A non-diverging tree-ring density reconstruction of summer temperatures from northwestern North America", Journal of Climate (2011) (submitted).

Andreu-Hayles, L., R. D’Arrigo, K. Anchukaitis, P. Beck, D. Frank, A. Verstege, and S. Goetz, "Varying Northern Forest Response to Arctic Environmental Change at the Firth River, Alaska", Special issue on Arctic Vegetation Dynamics, Environmental Research Letters (July 2011) (to be submitted).

Conference Abstracts

Beck, P.S.A., S.J. Goetz, H.D. Alexander, M.C. Mack, J.T. Randerson, G.P. Juday, Y. Jin, and M.M. Loranty, "Patterns in Alaskan boreal forest productivity and composition - precursors of a biome shift?", NASA Carbon Cycle & Ecosystems joint science workshop, Alexandria, VA (2011).

Andreu, L., R. D’Arrigo, K. Anchukaitis, S. Goetz and P. Beck, "Varying northern forest response to Arctic environmental change at the Firth River, Alaska", AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA (2010).

Andreu, L., R. D’Arrigo, K. Anchukaitis, S. Goetz and P. Beck, "Seasonality of northern forest response to arctic environmental change", CSAS Side Meeting at the State of the Arctic Conference, Miami, FL (2010).

Beck, P.S.A., G.P. Juday, S.J. Goetz, C. Alix, S. Winslow, E. Sousa, and P. Heiser, "Has the Alaskan climate crossed a threshold? Satellite and tree-ring data indicate biome shift", AGU annual meeting, San Francisco, CA (2010).

D’Arrigo, R., "Shifting Seasonality of Northern Forest Response to Arctic Environmental Change", ARCSS Seasonality PI Meeting, Burlington, VT (2010).

Goetz, S.J., P.S.A. Beck, and M.M. Loranty, "What is driving productivity changes at high northern latitudes?", AGU annual meeting, San Francisco, CA (2010).

The Changing Seasonality of Tundra Nutrient Cycling: Implications for Ecosystem and Arctic System Functioning

Publications

"Arctic Warming" in UT Discovers 2010, focus on Environmental Research, Publication of the University of Toledo, pp. 66. UT Discovers: Download PDF (217.8 KB)

The Seasonal Response of the Arctic and Global Climate System to Projected Sea Ice Loss within the Context of GHG-Induced Climate Change

Papers submitted or in press

Medeiros, B., C. Deser, R.A. Tomas, and J.E. Kay, "Arctic inversion strength in climate models", J. Climate, e-View, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI3968.1 (2011) (in press).

Vavrus, S.J., M.M. Holland, A. Jahn, D.A. Bailey, and B.A. Blazey, "21st-Century Arctic climate change in CCSM4", J. Climate (2011) (submitted).

Zhang, Y., D.J. Seidel, J.-C. Golaz, C. Deser, and R.A. Tomas, "Climatological Characteristics of Arctic and Antarctic Surface-Based Inversions", J. Climate, (2011) (provisionally accepted).

Conference Abstracts

Long, M., “Impacts of shifting seasonality on Arctic Ocean carbon and nutrient cycles”, CCSM Polar Climate Working Group meeting, NCAR, Boulder, CO (2011). Long Abstract 2011 (PDF 57 KB)

Wettstein, J., “Uncertainty in 21st Arctic sea ice loss: the role of natural climate variability”, CCSM Polar Climate Working Group meeting, NCAR, Boulder, CO (2011). Wettstein Abstract 2011 (PDF 54.8 KB)

Wettstein, J., “Uncertainty in 21st Arctic sea ice loss: the role of natural climate variability", AMS 11th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography, Boston, MA (2011).

Lawrence, D., "Will a large-scale expansion of Arctic shrub extent increase or decrease permafrost vulnerability to climate change?", AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA (2010).

Long, M., “Aspects of Arctic Ocean Biogeochemistry in CESM1”, CCSM Ocean Model Working Group meeting, Santa Fe, NM (2010). Long Abstract 2010 (PDF 52.9 KB)

Slater, A.G., “Land Data Assimilation for Seasonal Prediction and beyond: The Arctic Case”, WCRP Workshop on Arctic Predictability, Bergen, Norway (2010). Slater Abstract 2010 (PDF 64.8 KB)

Timing is Everything: Seasonality and Phenological Dynamics Linking Species, Communities and Trophic Feedbacks in the Low vs. High Arctic

Papers in Review or Press

Kerby, J., C.C. Wilmers, and E. Post, "Climate change, phenology, and the nature of consumer-resource interactions: advancing the match/mismatch hypothesis", in T. Ohgushi, O.J. Schmitz, and R.D. Holt, (editors), Ecology and evolution of trait-mediated interactions: linking evolution, community, and ecosystem, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (in press).

Cahoon, S., P. Sullivan, E. Post, & J. Welker, "Herbivores limit CO2 uptake and suppress carbon cycle responses to warming in the Arctic", Global Change Biology, (in review).

Høye, T.T., E. Post, N.M. Schmidt, K. Trojelsgaard, & M.C. Forchhammer, "Shorter flowering season in a warmer Arctic", Global Change Biology, (in review).

Post, E., "Ecology of Recent Climate Change", Princeton University Press (in review).

Conference Abstracts

Post, E., "Phenology: response, driver, and ecological integrator", Penn State University ecology graduate student invited seminar, University Park, PA (2011).

Post, E.,"Ecological response to climate change across scales of space, time, and biological organization", University of Calgary Ecology graduate student invited seminar, Calgary, AB (2011).

Kerby, J. and M. Avery, "Seasonality and Phenological Dynamics Linking Species, Communities, and Trophic Feedbacks in the Low- vs. High-Arctic", Seasonality Project Meeting, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT (2010).

Tracking the Seasonal Contribution of Algal Fatty Acids to the Arctic Marine System

Papers Submitted

Budge, S., S. Wang, T. Hollman and M. Wooller, "Carbon isotopic fractionation in eider adipose tissue varies with fatty acid structure: Implications for trophic studies", Journal of Experimental Biology (2011) (accepted).

Carroll, S.S., L. Horstmann-Dehn, and B. Norcross, "Interannual Variations in the Diet of Ice Seals Assessed by Isotopic Mixing Models", Marine Ecology Progress Series (2011) (submitted).

Conference Abstracts

Carroll, S.S., L. Horstmann-Dehn and B. Norcross, "Seize the Prey: Interannual Foraging Plasticity of Ice Seals Assessed by Isotopic Mixing Models", accepted for the Society of Marine Mammal Conference, Tampa, FL (2011).

Oxtoby, L.E., S.M. Budge, L.A. Dehn, S.W. Wang, R.R. Gradinger, K. Iken and M.J. Wooller, "Relative importance of sea ice algal primary production to Pacific walrus (Odobenus rosmarus divergens) diets", Alaska Marine Science Symposium, Anchorage, Alaska (2011).

Seymour, J., L. Horstmann-Dehn and M.J. Wooller, "Higher trophic level feeding in Pacific walruses and links to sex, location, and sea ice extent", 19th Biennial Conference on the Biology of Marine Mammals, Tampa, Florida (2011).

Seymour, J.-M., L. Dehn, and M. Wooller, "What’s for dinner? The influence of location on Pacific walrus feeding ecology", Alaska Marine Science Symposium, Anchorage, Alaska (2011).

Shiway, W.W., S.M. Budge, R.R. Gradinger, K. Iken, L.E. Oxtoby and M.J. Wooller, "Compound-specific stable isotope analyses of fatty acids in primary production from the Bering Sea: a foundation for food web biomarker studies", Alaska Marine Science Symposium, Anchorage, Alaska (2011).

Wang, S.W., S.M. Budge, L. Horstmann-Dehn, L.T. Quakenbush, A.M. Springer and M.J. Wooller, "Foraging patterns of ice seals in Alaska inferred from fatty acid profiles", 19th Biennial Conference on the Biology of Marine Mammals, Tampa, Florida (2011).

Oxtoby, L.E., S.W. Wang, S.M. Budge, J. Weems, L.A. Dehn, R.R. Gradinger, K. Iken, L. Quakenbush, C. Rosa and M.J. Wooller, "Determining seasonal variation in trophic linkages in the Bering Sea using compound-specific stable isotope analysis of algal fatty acids", ISOECOL VII, Fairbanks, AK (2010).

Oxtoby, L.E., S.W. Wang, S.M. Budge, J. Weems, L.A. Dehn, R.R. Gradinger, K. Iken, L. Quakenbush, C. Rosa and M.J. Wooller, "From Brine Channels to Blubber: Tracking Algal Fatty Acids Through the Bering Sea Food Web", Water and Environmental Research Center, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK (2010).

Posters

Oxtoby, L.E., S.M. Budge, L.A. Dehn, S.W. Wang, R.R. Gradinger, K. Iken and M.J. Wooller, "Relative importance of sea ice algal primary production to Pacific walrus (Odobenus rosmarus divergens) diets", Alaska Marine Science Symposium, Anchorage, AK (2011).

Seymour, J., L.E. Oxtoby, L.A. Dehn, and M. Wooller. "What stable isotopes and fatty acid analysis of walrus tissues tell us about their diet", Eskimo Walrus Commission Meeting in Anchorage, Alaska and Hunter Meeting in Savoonga, Alaska. (copies of this poster were also distributed to rural, coastal communities in Alaska) (2011).

Wang, S., S.M. Budge, R.R. Gradinger, K. Iken, L.E. Oxtoby and M.J. Wooller, "Compound-specific stable isotope analyses of fatty acids in primary production from the Bering Sea: a foundation for food web biomarker studies", Alaska Marine Science Symposium, Anchorage, AK (2011).

Oxtoby, L.E., S.W. Wang, S.M. Budge, J. Weems, L.A. Dehn, R.R. Gradinger, K. Iken, L. Quakenbush, C. Rosa, and M.J. Wooller, "Determining seasonal variation in trophic linkages in the Bering Sea using compound-specific stable isotope analysis of algal fatty acids", The 8th International Conference on Applications of Stable Isotope Techniques to Ecological Studies, Brest, France (2010).

Understanding Climate-Driven Phenological Change: Observations, Adaptations, and Cultural Implications in Northeastern Siberia and Labrador/Nunatsiavut

Journal Publications

Crate, S.A. (2011), "Climate and Culture: Anthropology in the Era of Contemporary Climate Change", Annual Review of Anthropology, doi: 10.1146/annurev.anthro.012809.104925.

Crate, S.A. (2011), "A Political Ecology of Water in Mind: Attributing Perceptions in the Era of Global Climate Change", Weather, Climate and Society, Vol 3.

Crate, S.A., "We are going Underwater: Siberian Villagers Show the World What Global Climate Change Means", Natural History, May 2011.

Crate, S.A. (2011) "Integrating Local and Scientific Knowledge about the Regional Effects of Global Climate Change", Course Reader eBooks, Belmont: Wadsworth Cengage Learning.

Crate, S.A. (2011) "Climate and Cosmology: Exploring Sakha Belief and the Local Effects of Unprecedented Change in North-Eastern Siberia, Russia" in Gerten, Dieter, ed. Religion in Environmental and Climate Change: Suffering, Values, Lifestyles, London: Continuum Books: 175-199.

Demarée, G.R., A.E.J. Ogilvie and Y. Csonka (2010), "The Inuit, the Moravian Brethren and Connections with French-speaking Switzerland", Journal of the North Atlantic 3: 24-30.

Papers Submitted

Crate, S.A., "Water, Water Everywhere: Perceptions of Chaotic Water Regimes in NE Siberia" in Barbara Rose Johnston, et al. (eds.) Water, Cultural Diversity & Environmental Change: Challenges for a Sustainable Future, UNESCO International Hydrological Programme and Springer Publishing (Paris and Amsterdam) (2011) (in press).

Demarée, G.R., and A.E.J. Ogilvie, "Climate-related information in Labrador/Nunatsiavut: evidence from Moravian missionary journals", Bulletin des séances ARSOM-KAOW (Royal Academy for Overseas Sciences, Belgium) (2011) (submitted).

Demarée, G.R., A.E.J. Ogilvie and Y. Csonka, "Connections between the Inuit Peoples of Labrador/Nunatsiavut, the Moravian Brethren, and French-Speaking Switzerland", in "Histories from the North: Environments, Movements, and Narratives: Proceedings of the BOREAS Conference", John P. Ziker and Florian Stammler, eds., (2011) (in press).

Conference Abstracts

Crate, S.A., "Viliui Sakha Perspectives on Changing Seasonality in Northeast Siberia, Russia", The Seventh International Congress of Arctic Social Sciences Circumpolar Perspectives in Global Dialogue: Social Sciences beyond the International Polar Year, Akureyri, Iceland (2011).

Crate, S.A., "Cows, Kin, and Climate Change: Bolstering Resilience Through Local and Scientific Knowledge Exchanges in Northeast Siberia", Third Annual ACMS Research Conference, Ulan Bator, Mongolia (2011).

Crate, S.A., "Understanding Risk Management and Sustainable Development in Sakha: Local Investigations using ‘Climate Ethnography’", 2nd HK International Conference: Reflections on Russian “Center-Periphery” Relationships: For Sustainable Resource Development in East Siberia and the Russian Far East, Institute of Russia-CIS Studies, Korea University, Seoul, Korea (2011).

Crate, S.A., "What "Lost" Cultures can Contribute to the Management of Our Planet", Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, Washington, DC (2011).

Crate, S.A., "WATER IN MIND: Exploring Narratives, Perceptions and Responses to Unprecedented Climate Change for Sakha of northeastern Siberia, Russia", Polarworlds International Conference, Paris, France (2011).

Demarée, G.R., A.E.J. Ogilvie and H. Rollmann, "From London to Labrador, via Stromness: Crossing the Atlantic with the Moravian missionaries", The Inaugural St. Magnus Conference, Orkney, Scotland (2011).

Ogilvie, A.E.J., "Comparing Changing Patterns of Seasonality in Sea-Ice Records from the Labrador/Nunatsiavut and Iceland Sectors", The Seventh International Congress of Arctic Social Sciences, Circumpolar Perspectives in Global Dialogue: Social Sciences beyond the International Polar Year, Akureyri, Iceland (2011).

Ogilvie, A.E.J., "Sea Ice as Enemy and Friend: The case of Iceland and Labrador", Our Ice Dependent World: The 6th Open Assembly of the Northern Research Forum, Hverargerði, Iceland (2011).

Crate, S.A., "Investigating Cultural Implications and Local Knowledge of Global Climate Change in Northeast Siberia, Russia", STIA and the Center for Eurasian, Russian and East European Studies, Georgetown University, Washington DC (2010).

Crate, S.A., "Water in Mind: Investigating the Cultural Implications of Climate Change in Siberia", Bowdoin College, Maine; University of New England, Maine (2010).

Crate, S.A., "Religion and Climate Change, Potsdam, Germany January 2 Water in Mind: Exploring Narratives, Perceptions and Responses to Unprecedented Climate change in NE Siberia", Sustainability Studies, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Newfoundland, CA (2010).

Demarée. G.R. and A.E.J. Ogilvie, "Scientific Results of Moravian Missionary Activity in Labrador", Royal Belgian Academy of Overseas Sciences, Brussels, Belgium (2010).

Ogilvie, A.E.J., G.R. Demarée, W. Hill B. Patterson, J.C. Rogers, "Human Dimensions of Changing Seasonality in the Arctic: A Focus on Labrador/Nunatsiavut", International Polar Year Oslo Science Conference, Oslo, Norway (2010).

Crate, S.A. and A.E.J. Ogilvie, "Understanding Climate-Driven Phenological Change - Observations, Adaptations and Cultural Implications in Northeastern Siberia and Labrador/Nunatsiavut (PHENARC)", Meeting of Climate Researchers in Labrador/Nunatsiavut, Ottawa, Canada (2010).

Books

Crate, S.A. and M. Nuttall, eds. (2009), Anthropology and Climate Change: From Encounters to Actions, (ed) Walnut Creek: Left Coast Press.

Changing Seasonality of the Arctic: Alteration of Production Cycles and Trophic Linkages in Response to Changes in Sea Ice and Upper Ocean Physics

Journal Publications

Steele, M., J. Zhang, and W. Ermold (2010), "Mechanisms of summertime upper Arctic Ocean warming and the effect on sea ice melt", J. Geophys. Res., 115, C11004, doi: 10.1029/2009JC005849.

Zhang, J., M. Steele, and A. Schweiger (2010), "Arctic sea ice response to atmospheric forcings with varying levels of anthropogenic warming and climate variability", Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L20505, doi: 10.1029/2010GL044988.

Zhang, J., Y.H. Spitz, M. Steele, C. Ashjian, R. Campbell, L. Berline, and P. Matrai (2010), "Modeling the impact of declining sea ice on the Arctic marine planktonic ecosystem", J. Geophy. Res., 115, C10015, doi: 10.1029/2009JC005387.

Panteleev, G., D.A. Nechaev, A. Proshutinsky, R. Woodgate, and J. Zhang (2010), "Reconstruction and analysis of the Chukchi Sea circulation in 1990-1991", J. Geophys Res., 115, C08023, doi: 10.1029/2009JC005453.

Papers Submitted

Johnson, M., A. Proshutinsky, Y. Aksenov, A. Nguyen, R. Lindsay, C. Haas, J. Zhang, N. Diansky, R. Kwok, W. Maslowski, S. Hakkinen, I. Ashik, B. de Cuevas, "Evaluation of Arctic sea ice thickness simulated by AOMIP models", JGR-Ocean, (2011) (submitted).

Peralta-Ferriz, C., J.H. Morison, J.M. Wallace, and J. Zhang, "A basin-coherent mode of sub-monthly variability in Arctic Ocean bottom pressure", Geophy. Res. Lett. (2011) (submitted).

Popova, E., A. Yool, A.C. Coward, F. Dupont, C. Deal, S. Elliott, E. Hunke, M. Jin, M. Steele, J. Zhang, "What controls primary production in the Arctic Ocean? Results from an ecosystem model intercomparison", JGR-Ocean (2011) (submitted).

Schweiger, A., R. Lindsay, J. Zhang, M. Steele, H. Stern, "Uncertainty in Modeled Arctic Sea Ice Volume", JGR-Ocean, (2011) (submitted).

Steele, M., W. Ermold, and J. Zhang, "Modeling the formation and fate of the near-surface temperature maximum in the Canadian Basin of the Arctic Ocean", JGR-Ocean (2011) (submitted).

Wang, J., H. Eicken, Y. Yu, X. Bai, J. Zhang, H. Hu, M. Ikeda, K. Mizobata, and J. Overland, "Model-data fusion studies of Pacific Arctic climate and ice-ocean processes", Springer PAR Synthesis Book Chapter 6 (2010) (in press).

Analysis and attribution of changes in Siberian hydroclimate and implications for the future

Journal Publications

Alexeev, V.A., I.N. Esau, I.V. Polyakov, S.J. Byam, and S.Sorokina (2011), "Vertical structure of recent Arctic warming from observed data and reanalysis products", Climatic Change, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0192-8.

Jones, J. and J. Cohen (2011), "Climatology of strong polar anticyclonic activity", J. Climate, 24, 2599-2611.

Roberts, A., J. Cherry, R. Doscher, S. Elliot, L. Sushama (2011), "Exploring the Potential for Arctic Systems Modeling", Bulletin of the American Met. Soc., 92, doi: 10.1175/2010BAMS2959.1.

Cherry, J.E., S. Walker, N. Fresco, S. Trainor, and A. Tidwell (2010), "Impacts of Climate Change and Variability on Hydropower in Southeast Alaska: planning for a robust energy future", Report to NOAA-NMFS Hydropower coordination office. Download Seak Report PDF (2.4 MB)

Cohen, J., J. Foster, M. Barlow, K. Saito and J. Jones (2010), "Winter 2009/10: A case study of an extreme Arctic Oscillation event", Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L17707, doi:10.1029/2010GL044256.

Rawlins, M.A., M. Steele, M. Holland, J.C. Adam, J.E. Cherry, J.A. Francis, P. Groisman, L.D. Hinzman, T.G. Huntington, D.L. Kane, J.S. Kimball, R. Kwok, R.B. Lammers, D.P. Lettenmaier, K.C. McDonald, E. Podest, J.W. Pundsack, B. Rudels, M.C. Serreze, A. Shiklomanov, O. Skagseth, T.J. Troy, C.J. Vorosmarty, M. Wensnahan, E.R. Wood, R. Woodgate, D. Yang, K. Zhang and T. Zhang (2010), “Intensified Water Cycle? Trend Analysis of the Arctic System Freshwater Cycle: Observations and Expectations”, Journal of Climate, Vol. 23, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3421.1.

Papers submitted

Cherry, J.E., “Arctic Hydroclimatology” in Encyclopedia of Snow, Ice, and Glaciers, Ed., V.P. Sing, P. Singh, U.K. Haritashya, Dordrecht, Springer (2010) (in press).

Cohen, J. and J. Jones, "Tropospheric precursors and stratospheric warmings", J. Climate (2011) (in press).

Foster, J.L., G. Skofronick-Jackson, H. Meng, J.R. Wang, G. Riggs, P.J. Kocin, B. T. Johnson, J. Cohen, D.K. Hall and S.V. Nghiem, "Remote Sensing of the Historic February 2010 Snow Storms in the Middle Atlantic Region of the U.S.: Focusing on the Baltimore/Washington Metropolitan Area", Hydrological Processes (2011) (in review).

Jaiser, R., K. Dethloff, D. Handorf, A. Rinke, and J. Cohen, "Planetary- and synoptic-scale feedbacks between tropospheric and sea ice cover changes in the Arctic", Tellus, (2011) (in press).

Polyakov I.V., and V.A. Alexeev, et. al., "Nowcast: Fate of early-2000's Arctic warm water pulse", BAMS, (2011) (in press).

Smith, K., P.J. Kushner and J. Cohen, "The role of linear interference in Northern Annular Mode variability associated with Eurasian snow cover extent", J. Climate, (2011) (in press).

Vavrus, S., U. Bhatt, and V. Alexeev, "Factors Influencing Simulated Changes in Future Arctic Cloudiness", Journal of Climate, (2011) (in press).